feat: minis launch, cold-start watch and delivery watch skills

Three TikTok Minis skills for Codex and Claude Code, with the cold-start playbook and five benchmark accounts through 88776-1 (2026-09-30). install.sh links them into ~/.codex/skills and ~/.claude/skills. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-30 15:10:54 +08:00
commit 9f9e70ea2d
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+{
+ "note": "每小时消耗与 D0 回收(USD),账户报表时区。新户关户后把它追加进来:outcome 写结果,lesson 写一句教训。",
+ "accounts": [
+  {
+   "short": "88775-5",
+   "date": "2026-09-27",
+   "kind": "good",
+   "enabled": "10:55",
+   "outcome": "消耗 1676.64 / 回收 2095.31 / ROAS 1.25,赚 419,未被罚,约 21:00 手动关",
+   "lesson": "起量第一个整点 1.29;每计划 1 条主力 CTR ≥ 23%;前期预警都自己回升;16-17 点最赚,18 点起衰退",
+   "hourly": {
+    "11": [
+     0.68,
+     0.38
+    ],
+    "12": [
+     82.44,
+     106.38
+    ],
+    "13": [
+     336.33,
+     453.4
+    ],
+    "14": [
+     365.39,
+     396.63
+    ],
+    "15": [
+     184.6,
+     242.2
+    ],
+    "16": [
+     108.13,
+     200.48
+    ],
+    "17": [
+     191.26,
+     289.46
+    ],
+    "18": [
+     212.82,
+     211.89
+    ],
+    "19": [
+     106.92,
+     118.26
+    ],
+    "20": [
+     78.03,
+     73.49
+    ],
+    "21": [
+     7.05,
+     4.93
+    ],
+    "22": [
+     2.08,
+     2.9
+    ],
+    "23": [
+     0.91,
+     0.7
+    ]
+   }
+  },
+  {
+   "short": "88794-9",
+   "date": "2026-09-29",
+   "kind": "bad",
+   "enabled": "10:08",
+   "outcome": "消耗 218.97 / 回收 201.70 / ROAS 0.92,亏 17,未被罚,19:00 手动关",
+   "lesson": "起量就 0.86;CTR 全 20%+ 仍亏;按 ROAS 关 5 条后该段 1.12;跨 18 点冲回本反而回吐",
+   "hourly": {
+    "11": [
+     2.43,
+     1.88
+    ],
+    "12": [
+     85.49,
+     73.76
+    ],
+    "13": [
+     81.31,
+     71.89
+    ],
+    "14": [
+     7.15,
+     10.63
+    ],
+    "15": [
+     7.89,
+     10.8
+    ],
+    "16": [
+     30.43,
+     28.81
+    ],
+    "17": [
+     3.55,
+     3.63
+    ],
+    "18": [
+     0.84,
+     0.47
+    ],
+    "19": [
+     0.01,
+     0.0
+    ]
+   }
+  },
+  {
+   "short": "88775-9",
+   "date": "2026-09-26",
+   "kind": "punished",
+   "enabled": "13:37(重开)",
+   "outcome": "消耗 280.69 / ROAS 1.84,约 15:00 ADVERTISER_ACCOUNT_PUNISH",
+   "lesson": "与剧无关猎奇图 + 性暗示;前一天开投约 4 小时被整体停用未查原因就重开;ROAS 高也被罚",
+   "hourly": {
+    "13": [
+     0.06,
+     1.03
+    ],
+    "14": [
+     280.63,
+     522.34
+    ]
+   }
+  },
+  {
+   "short": "88775-7",
+   "date": "2026-09-26",
+   "kind": "punished",
+   "enabled": "约 17:00",
+   "outcome": "消耗 1041.71 / ROAS 0.79,约 21:27 ADVERTISER_ACCOUNT_PUNISH",
+   "lesson": "晚上开投撞衰退时段;20 点一小时花 644 仍在亏;猎奇素材且检测 502 无人检查",
+   "hourly": {
+    "17": [
+     0.06,
+     0.0
+    ],
+    "18": [
+     85.11,
+     74.36
+    ],
+    "19": [
+     204.46,
+     192.82
+    ],
+    "20": [
+     644.45,
+     486.49
+    ],
+    "21": [
+     107.63,
+     72.95
+    ]
+   }
+  },
+  {
+   "short": "88776-1",
+   "date": "2026-09-30",
+   "kind": "bad",
+   "enabled": "09:59",
+   "outcome": "停时消耗 38.11 / 回收 24.93 / ROAS 0.65,亏约 13,未被罚,13:13 按运营「亏损不超 20」全停",
+   "lesson": "20 张与剧无关猎奇图;CPM 约 0.1、CTR 20-30% 但回收差,4 部剧全在 0.5-0.75;起量第一个整点 0.64,SilverWing 在本户也亏(前两户 >1.1)",
+   "hourly": {
+    "10": [
+     0.04,
+     0.0
+    ],
+    "11": [
+     8.23,
+     4.88
+    ],
+    "12": [
+     25.11,
+     16.07
+    ],
+    "13": [
+     4.73,
+     3.98
+    ]
+   }
+  }
+ ]
+}